SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Instituto |
46.34% ( -0.19) | 28.77% ( 0.02) | 24.89% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.96% ( 0.04) | 64.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.79% ( 0.03) | 83.21% ( -0.03) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.08) | 27.82% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( -0.11) | 63.42% ( 0.11) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.47% ( 0.19) | 42.53% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.11% ( 0.16) | 78.89% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.13% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.1% Total : 24.88% |
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