SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Falkirk |
35.16% ( -1.07) | 22.95% ( -0.05) | 41.89% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 65.16% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.06% ( 0.04) | 35.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.05) | 58.04% ( -0.05) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -0.51) | 20.81% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( -0.81) | 53.47% ( 0.81) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( 0.49) | 17.73% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.6% ( 0.84) | 48.4% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.99% Total : 41.89% |
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