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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
38.06% ( 2.75) | 26.17% ( 0.04) | 35.77% ( -2.79) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% ( -0.15) | 50.94% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.18% ( -0.13) | 72.81% ( 0.13) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 1.52) | 26.11% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( 1.99) | 61.18% ( -1.99) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -1.66) | 27.43% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( -2.2) | 62.92% ( 2.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.77% |
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