SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Falkirk.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
62.99% ( 0.05) | 21.04% ( -0.02) | 15.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.02) | 45.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.02) | 68.01% ( -0.02) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( 0.02) | 13.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.72% ( 0.04) | 41.28% ( -0.04) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0.03) | 41.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.96% ( -0.03) | 78.04% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.98% |
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