Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Barbastro had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.27%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Barbastro win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.78) 
