SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Espanyol |
67.02% ( -1.15) | 16.94% ( 0.16) | 16.04% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 66.01% ( 1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.23% ( 1.36) | 25.77% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.09% ( 1.74) | 45.91% ( -1.74) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.78% ( 0.12) | 7.23% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.79% ( 0.32) | 26.21% ( -0.32) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 2.05) | 28.85% ( -2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( 2.47) | 64.72% ( -2.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.54)3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.43)1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.45)4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.14)6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.88% Total : 67.02% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.47% Total : 16.94% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.56% Total : 16.04% |
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