SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
60.87% ( 0.53) | 20.78% ( -0.12) | 18.35% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.62% ( -0.1) | 40.38% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% ( -0.11) | 62.75% ( 0.11) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( 0.12) | 12.83% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.82% ( 0.24) | 39.17% ( -0.24) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0.5) | 35.54% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% ( -0.52) | 72.3% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.54% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.35% |
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