SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
34.06% ( 0.44) | 29.89% ( 0.41) | 36.05% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 42.39% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.22% ( -1.27) | 64.79% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.26% ( -0.9) | 83.74% ( 0.91) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( -0.38) | 35.56% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.67% ( -0.4) | 72.33% ( 0.4) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -1.22) | 34.21% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% ( -1.34) | 70.9% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.07% Total : 34.05% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.89% | 0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.05% |
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