Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Barracas Central	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
17.87% ( -0.05)	26.03% ( -0.03)	56.09% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 40.14% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.64% (

0.05)

61.35% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.74% (

0.04)

81.26% (

-0.03)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.51% (

-0.03)

48.48% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.41% (

-0.02)

83.58% (

0.03)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

0.06)

22.08% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.56% (

0.08)

55.44% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Barracas Central 17.87%

Velez Sarsfield 56.09%

Draw 26.02%

Barracas Central	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.87%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 16.17% 0-2 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.09%