SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | MK Dons |
37.64% ( 0.13) | 26.29% ( 0.06) | 36.07% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.56% ( -0.28) | 51.44% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.75% ( -0.25) | 73.25% ( 0.25) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.06) | 26.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( -0.08) | 61.81% ( 0.08) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -0.25) | 27.49% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( -0.32) | 62.99% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.07% |
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