Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
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