Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
