SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Barrow |
39.17% ( 0.23) | 26.49% ( 0.07) | 34.34% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( -0.31) | 52.43% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( -0.27) | 74.11% ( 0.27) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0.02) | 26.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% ( -0.02) | 61.29% ( 0.02) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.34) | 29.03% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( -0.42) | 64.93% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.34% |
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