SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
58.11% ( -0.48) | 21.69% ( 0.21) | 20.2% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.58) | 41.73% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( -0.59) | 64.14% ( 0.59) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( -0.34) | 14.1% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% ( -0.67) | 41.72% ( 0.67) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( -0.07) | 34.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( -0.07) | 71.12% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.2% |
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