SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 57.19%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 21.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 0-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Basel |
21.56% ( -1.78) | 21.25% ( -0.31) | 57.19% ( 2.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.72) | 37.81% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.94% ( -0.77) | 60.06% ( 0.77) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -1.92) | 30.88% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( -2.32) | 67.16% ( 2.32) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( 0.39) | 13.09% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.3% ( 0.8) | 39.7% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.77% Total : 21.56% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.52)0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 6.66% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.88% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.77% Total : 57.19% |
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