Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
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