SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Basel had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Basel |
49.63% ( -0.34) | 23.62% ( 0.06) | 26.75% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( -0.06) | 43.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.06) | 65.78% ( 0.06) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.15) | 17.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -0.26) | 48.17% ( 0.26) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( 0.18) | 29.66% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( 0.22) | 65.71% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 26.75% |
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