SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Basel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
44.91% ( 0.71) | 23.45% ( 0.01) | 31.64% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( -0.37) | 39.59% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( -0.38) | 61.93% ( 0.39) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.14) | 17.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( 0.24) | 48.82% ( -0.24) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.6) | 24.46% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( -0.85) | 58.9% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.77% Total : 44.91% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.64% |
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