Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Rodez AF
37.39% ( -0.36)	28.81% ( 0.11)	33.8% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.75% (

-0.35)

61.24% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.82% (

-0.26)

81.17% (

0.26)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-0.4)

31.5% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0.46)

67.89% (

0.46)

Rodez AF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0.01)

33.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

-0.01)

70.52% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bastia 37.39%

Rodez AF 33.79%

Draw 28.8%

Bastia	Draw	Rodez AF
1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.39%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.79%