Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Boutrah (21'), Cisse (35')
Vincent (33'), Maggiotti (45+4'), Tramoni (90+2')
Tavenot (29'),
Tavares (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Paris FC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result |
Bastia | Draw | Paris FC |
30.69% ( 0.03) | 29.36% ( 0.01) | 39.95% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 43.13% ( -0.01) |
36.42% ( -0.01) | 63.58% ( 0.01) |
17.11% ( -0.01) | 82.88% ( 0.01) |
62.63% ( 0.02) | 37.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% ( 0.02) | 74.15% ( -0.01) |
68.87% ( -0.03) | 31.13% ( 0.03) |