Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.

Result
Dunkerque	Draw	Bastia
39.09% ( 0.09)	28.23% ( 0.02)	32.68% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 46.75% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.62% (

-0.07)

59.38% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

-0.05)

79.76% (

0.05)

Dunkerque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

0.02)

29.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.43% (

0.02)

65.56% (

-0.03)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35% (

-0.11)

33.65% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7% (

-0.12)

70.3% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Dunkerque 39.09%

Bastia 32.67%

Draw 28.23%

Dunkerque	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 39.09%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.67%