Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 42.25%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.04) 
