Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
