Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.
-0.24) 
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