Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Borisov Arena
FT(HT: 0-0)
Atanasovski (34'), Murataj (67')
We said: BATE Borisov 2-1 Partizani Tirana
After the first leg produced a closely-fought contest, we expect more of the same in Tuesday's fixture, but after progressing from their last three first-round ties in Champions League qualifying, we think that BATE will edge out Partizani to squeeze through to the next stage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Partizani Tirana had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Partizani Tirana win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Partizani Tirana |
39.68% ( 0.02) | 27.57% ( -0) | 32.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( 0.01) |
| 43.06% ( 0.01) | 56.94% ( -0.01) |
| 22.15% ( 0.01) | 77.84% ( -0.01) |
| 71.97% ( 0.02) | 28.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.32% ( 0.02) | 63.68% ( -0.02) |
| 67.67% ( -0) | 32.33% ( 0) |
