SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Austria |
45.24% ( 0.49) | 26.45% ( -0.04) | 28.31% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( -0.06) | 54.25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( -0.05) | 75.65% ( 0.05) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.21) | 23.9% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( 0.3) | 58.11% ( -0.3) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( -0.38) | 34.17% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( -0.41) | 70.86% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgium | Draw | Austria |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.31% |
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