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World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
CN

Belgium
1 - 0
Canada

Batshuayi (44')
Carrasco (9'), Meunier (53'), Onana (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (81'), Johnston (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 Egypt
Friday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Canada
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Canada had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
BelgiumDrawCanada
42.46% (-0.238 -0.24) 26.03% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 31.51% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.04% (-0.245 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78% (-0.345 -0.34)51.22% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (-0.301 -0.3)73.06% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)23.93% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84% (-0.387 -0.39)58.15% (0.383 0.38)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)30.27% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)66.45% (0.089999999999989 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 42.45%
    Canada 31.51%
    Draw 26.02%
BelgiumDrawCanada
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 Egypt
Friday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 1-0 Belgium
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 2-1 Wales
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Canada
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 0-2 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Canada
Friday, September 23 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 4-0 Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League


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