SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | France | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | Austria | 6 | -4 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Austria had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Italy |
26.93% ( -2.61) | 24.08% ( -0.77) | 48.98% ( 3.37) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( 1.72) | 45.32% ( -1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( 1.62) | 67.66% ( -1.63) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( -1.01) | 30.53% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.24% ( -1.22) | 66.75% ( 1.22) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( 2.09) | 18.59% ( -2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.13% ( 3.4) | 49.87% ( -3.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.49)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.52)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.34)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.33)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.98% |
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