SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Belgium | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Canada | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Belgium |
37.14% ( 0.34) | 25.93% ( -0.06) | 36.93% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( 0.24) | 49.85% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( 0.22) | 71.84% ( -0.22) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( 0.31) | 26.12% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( 0.41) | 61.19% ( -0.41) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -0.05) | 26.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( -0.07) | 61.35% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.14% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.93% |
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