SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Belgium |
48.24% ( 0.26) | 24.51% ( 0.08) | 27.25% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.56) | 46.95% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.52) | 69.2% ( 0.52) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.11) | 19.53% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( -0.19) | 51.42% ( 0.19) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( -0.54) | 31.15% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( -0.63) | 67.48% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.24% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
