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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
BN

Sweden
0 - 3
Belgium


Olsson (38'), Gustafson (62'), Lindelof (78'), Kulusevski (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (35', 49', 82')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 0-0 Belgium
Thursday, December 1 at 3pm in World Cup

We said: Sweden 1-1 Belgium

Belgium have won their last three games against Sweden, with the home side not beating their opponents here since 1961. This has all of the makings of a very interesting game, but we are struggling to separate the two teams, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawBelgium
31.25% (0.023 0.02) 28.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.33% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.51% (0.012 0.01)80.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (0.025999999999996 0.03)35.18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.029 0.03)71.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 31.24%
    Belgium 40.33%
    Draw 28.4%
SwedenDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 31.24%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 40.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Finland
Monday, January 9 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Algeria
Saturday, November 19 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-2 Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 1-1 Slovenia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Sweden
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 0-0 Belgium
Thursday, December 1 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Belgium 0-2 Morocco
Sunday, November 27 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Canada
Wednesday, November 23 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 Egypt
Friday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 1-0 Belgium
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 2-1 Wales
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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