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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 25, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
2 - 1
C. Cordoba

Reyna (58', 68')
Reyna (16'), Rebola (45+2'), Moreno (64'), Quignon (90+6'), Delgado (90+6')
Moreno (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Molina (45+4' pen.)
Miloc (52'), Monzon (74'), Laquidain (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Belgrano
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-4 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 20 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Belgrano 2-0 Central Cordoba

The visitors' backline has been far too inconsistent throughout the domestic campaign for us to believe they will manage to shut down a side that have been particularly potent at home in recent outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawCentral Cordoba
59.47% (0.458 0.46) 24.59% (-0.18 -0.18) 15.94% (-0.276 -0.28)
Both teams to score 40.32% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.84% (0.21400000000001 0.21)59.16% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.41% (0.167 0.17)79.59% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (0.26299999999999 0.26)19.84% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07% (0.421 0.42)51.93% (-0.419 -0.42)
Central Cordoba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.3% (-0.244 -0.24)49.7% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.55% (-0.171 -0.17)84.45% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 59.46%
    Central Cordoba 15.94%
    Draw 24.59%
BelgranoDrawCentral Cordoba
1-0 @ 15.94%
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.96% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.46%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 15.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Belgrano
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Real Tomayapo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 4-4 Racing
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Delfin
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-2 Belgrano
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 0-4 Racing
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-4 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 20 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, May 11 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, April 15 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 5-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-3 Racing
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 2-2 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, March 19 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division


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