With both sides likely to rotate heavily, it could be quite a low-key affair, with the visitors set to focus on their promotion push from the second tier.
The task is rather straightforward for Benfica, all they have to do is avoid a two-goal defeat, but they should stroll to a relatively comfortable victory here on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 7.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
-0.09) 
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