Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for AVS had a probability of 9.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.38%) and 0-3 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.05) 
