Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 90.9%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for AVS had a probability of 2.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.13%) and 0-4 (12.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (1%).