SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
20.02% ( 1.29) | 21.58% ( 0.25) | 58.39% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.78) | 41.47% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( 0.79) | 63.86% ( -0.79) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( 1.8) | 34.42% ( -1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( 1.87) | 71.13% ( -1.88) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( -0.22) | 13.92% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.63% ( -0.43) | 41.36% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.49)1-3 @ 6.53% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 3.22% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.39% |
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