SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Benfica |
28.6% ( -0.07) | 23.6% ( -0.03) | 47.81% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.55% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( 0.12) | 41.95% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( 0.12) | 64.36% ( -0.11) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( 0.02) | 27.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% ( 0.02) | 63.12% ( -0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( 0.09) | 17.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% ( 0.15) | 48.44% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.6% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 47.81% |
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