Given Blackburn's most recent form, Cambridge will fancy their chances of causing an upset at Ewood Park. However, despite their frailties, Blackburn have plenty of quality in attack, leading us to predict a home victory with something to spare.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
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