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OU
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
CU

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cambridge

Goodrham (54'), Brown (90+5')
Brown (44'), Brannagan (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cousins (30')
Thomas (53'), May (74'), Stevens (90+2'), Brophy (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Cambridge United

Cambridge are in a good moment but their away form is a major source of concern coming into this match. Oxford, on the other hand, have been solid at home, and should come out on top in the battle of the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
66.3% (0.047000000000011 0.05) 20.28% (0.02 0.02) 13.42% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.253 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.239 -0.24)47.54% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.22 -0.22)69.75% (0.212 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)13.46% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)40.46% (0.111 0.11)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.68% (-0.257 -0.26)46.31% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.04% (-0.199 -0.2)81.96% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 66.29%
    Cambridge United 13.42%
    Draw 20.28%
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.29%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.28%
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 13.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Cambridge
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 4-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One


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