SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
50.28% ( 0.12) | 23.32% ( -0.04) | 26.39% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.09) | 42.32% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.09) | 64.73% ( -0.1) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.08) | 16.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( 0.14) | 47.04% ( -0.15) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.02) | 29.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% ( -0.02) | 65.36% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.07% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 26.39% |
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