Neither team head into this game in strong form whatsoever, with both sides appearing to be set for relegation battles in League One. Cambridge will have no permanent manager in charge for this match after sacking Bonner, so could be a little disjointed.
As such, we can envisage a draw between two evenly matched outfits, which would give Fleetwood the advantage to progress to the third round with a home replay to come.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
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