While both teams have struggled for results in recent weeks, history is on Boavista's side as they are unbeaten in their last eight games against Portimonense. Sergio's men have lost each of their last five league games on the road and we see them struggling once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
0.14) 
-0.05) 
