SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
33.51% ( 0) | 26.67% ( 0.03) | 39.82% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( -0.13) | 53.31% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% ( -0.11) | 74.85% ( 0.1) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( -0.06) | 29.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( -0.07) | 66.1% ( 0.07) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -0.08) | 26.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( -0.11) | 61.35% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.81% |
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