SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
11.46% ( -0.03) | 17.98% ( 0.02) | 70.55% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.14) | 42.23% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.14) | 64.63% ( 0.15) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.82% ( -0.15) | 46.18% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.14% ( -0.11) | 81.86% ( 0.11) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.26% ( -0.03) | 10.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.3% ( -0.08) | 34.7% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.46% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.98% | 0-2 @ 12.34% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 9.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 70.54% |
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