SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
28.16% ( 0.03) | 26.41% ( 0.02) | 45.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.84% ( -0.05) | 54.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.43% ( -0.04) | 75.57% ( 0.04) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0) | 34.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( -0) | 70.94% ( -0) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.05) | 23.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( -0.06) | 57.92% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.43% |
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