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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
A

Bodo/Glimt
1 - 2
Ajax

Berg (83')
Gronbaek (57'), Zugelj (79'), Gundersen (90+1'), Evjen (96')
Gronbaek (65')
FT
(aet)
Berghuis (34'), Taylor (114')
Rensch (57'), Ramaj (79')
Sutalo (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We say: Bodo/Glimt 2-3 Ajax (Ajax to win 5-4 on aggregate)

There will surely be goals in this contest, we should cannot predict with any great certainty where they shall go. That said, for all of their vulnerabilities in defence, we would be surprised if Ajax do not showcase their superior attacking quality to edge through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.91%) and 3-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.16%).

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawAjax
48.11% (-0.294 -0.29) 20.2% (0.099 0.1) 31.69% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 74.55% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.69% (-0.402 -0.4)23.3% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.33% (-0.541 -0.54)42.66% (0.53599999999999 0.54)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.27% (-0.227 -0.23)10.73% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.32% (-0.503 -0.5)34.67% (0.499 0.5)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.113 -0.11)16.49% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (-0.203 -0.2)46.2% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 48.11%
    Ajax 31.69%
    Draw 20.2%
Bodo/GlimtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 5.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 3.95% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 48.11%
2-2 @ 7.16% (0.011 0.01)
1-1 @ 7.12% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 3.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.77% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.028 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 31.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 Sarpsborg
Sunday, December 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-2 Lugano
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brann 4-2 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Aalesund
Sunday, November 12 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV
Saturday, February 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, January 21 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie


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