SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 3-1 (6.7%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Besiktas |
55.35% ( -2.25) | 20.76% ( 0.51) | 23.89% ( 1.74) |
| Both teams to score 65.22% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.37) | 32.51% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.84% ( -0.43) | 54.15% ( 0.43) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( -0.73) | 11.89% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.78% ( -1.59) | 37.22% ( 1.58) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 1.15) | 25.97% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( 1.53) | 60.99% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.27)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.35% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.89% |
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