Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
Result | ||
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Lugano |
65.33% ( -0) | 18.19% ( 0) | 16.48% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.89% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.76% ( 0.01) | 31.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.33% ( 0.01) | 52.67% ( -0.01) |
Bodo/Glimt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% ( 0) | 9.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.29% ( 0) | 30.71% |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.01) | 31.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( 0.01) | 68.43% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.21% 5-0 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 4.21% Total : 65.33% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.19% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 16.48% |
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