SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
50.34% ( 0.13) | 27.04% ( 0.02) | 22.62% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.92% ( -0.16) | 60.08% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.7% ( -0.12) | 80.3% ( 0.12) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.01) | 24.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( -0.02) | 58.33% ( 0.02) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.23) | 42.44% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( -0.2) | 78.81% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.62% |
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