SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Nacional |
14.94% ( -0.15) | 22.82% ( -0.16) | 62.25% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 42.82% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% ( 0.34) | 54.57% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( 0.29) | 75.92% ( -0.28) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.66% ( -0.01) | 48.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.52% ( -0) | 83.48% ( 0.01) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( 0.23) | 17.11% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.69% ( 0.41) | 47.31% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.94% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 14.6% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 12.89% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.59% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 62.24% |
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